chronos-t5-base

Maintained By
amazon

Chronos-T5-Base

PropertyValue
Parameter Count201M
Model TypeTime Series Forecasting
ArchitectureT5-based Transformer
LicenseApache-2.0
PaperChronos: Learning the Language of Time Series

What is chronos-t5-base?

Chronos-t5-base is a sophisticated time series forecasting model that belongs to the Chronos family of models. It leverages a modified T5 architecture with 201M parameters, specifically designed to treat time series forecasting as a language modeling task. The model transforms numerical time series data into tokens through scaling and quantization, enabling it to generate probabilistic forecasts by sampling multiple future trajectories.

Implementation Details

Based on the T5-efficient-base architecture, this model features a unique vocabulary size of 4,096 tokens (compared to the original T5's 32,128 tokens). It processes time series data by converting numerical values into token sequences and uses cross-entropy loss during training. The model has been trained on both public time series datasets and synthetic data generated using Gaussian processes.

  • Modified T5 architecture optimized for time series
  • Reduced vocabulary size for efficient time series tokenization
  • Supports both CPU and GPU inference with bfloat16 optimization
  • Implements autoregressive sampling for probabilistic forecasting

Core Capabilities

  • Probabilistic time series forecasting
  • Multiple trajectory sampling for uncertainty estimation
  • Efficient processing of historical context
  • Support for batch processing of multiple time series
  • 80% prediction interval generation

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What makes this model unique?

This model uniquely approaches time series forecasting as a language modeling task, enabling it to learn complex patterns and generate probabilistic forecasts through token-based modeling. It's part of the newer generation of foundation models for time series analysis.

Q: What are the recommended use cases?

The model is well-suited for business forecasting, demand prediction, financial time series analysis, and any application requiring probabilistic forecasts with uncertainty estimates. It's particularly valuable when working with multiple time series at scale.

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