granite-timeseries-ttm-r1

granite-timeseries-ttm-r1

ibm-granite

Compact pre-trained model for multivariate time-series forecasting with <1M parameters. Outperforms larger models in zero-shot/few-shot forecasting for minutely/hourly data.

PropertyValue
Parameters805k
LicenseApache 2.0
PaperView Paper
Tensor TypeF32

What is granite-timeseries-ttm-r1?

Granite-TimeSeries-TTM-R1 is a revolutionary compact pre-trained model for multivariate time-series forecasting, developed by IBM Research. As one of the first "tiny" pre-trained models in its domain, it achieves remarkable performance with less than 1 million parameters. The model specializes in handling minutely to hourly resolution data and has been pre-trained on 250M public training samples.

Implementation Details

The model implements a focused pre-training approach, where each TTM variant is optimized for specific forecasting settings based on context and forecast lengths. Currently, two main variants are available: 512-96 and 1024-96, capable of processing 512 or 1024 time points to predict the next 96 time points respectively.

  • Efficient architecture requiring minimal computational resources
  • Supports both zero-shot and fine-tuned forecasting
  • Capable of running on single GPU or even CPU machines
  • Pre-trained on diverse public time series datasets

Core Capabilities

  • Zero-shot multivariate forecasting
  • Channel-independent and channel-mix fine-tuning
  • Support for exogenous/control variables
  • Rolling forecasts for extended prediction lengths
  • Integration with static categorical features

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What makes this model unique?

TTM-R1's uniqueness lies in its extremely compact size (805k parameters) while maintaining competitive performance against models with billions of parameters. It's one of the first tiny pre-trained models specifically designed for time-series forecasting.

Q: What are the recommended use cases?

The model is best suited for minutely to hourly resolution time-series data (10 min, 15 min, 1 hour). It's particularly effective for multivariate forecasting scenarios requiring predictions up to 96 time points into the future, with either 512 or 1024 historical time points as context.

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